What Are the Risks of Annuities in a Recession? (2024)

Annuities come in several forms, the two most common being fixed annuities and variable annuities. During a recession, variable annuities pose much more risk than fixed annuities because their performance is tied to market indexes, which recessions tend to pummel.

Variable annuities are securities registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), and sales of variable insurance products are regulated by the SEC and FINRA. Fixed annuities, by contrast, offer guaranteed rates of return.

Though fixed annuities provide peace of mind during recessions, they tend to underperform, at least compared with their variable counterparts, when the economy is doing well. During good times variable annuities reward investors willing to shoulder higher risk by providing, on average, more aggressive returns.

Key Takeaways

  • A variable annuity, regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), is a retirement product in which funds are directly tied to the market.
  • A fixed annuity is a retirement product that earns a fixed interest rate.
  • The value of a variable annuity fluctuates and poses the greatest risk to an investor during a recession.

How Annuities Work

Annuities are niche investment products often used for retirement planning. Unlike most investment vehicles, annuities do not come from traditional wirehouses or brokerage houses. They are managed by life insurance companies, and the person most likely to sell you an annuity is not a stockbroker but an insurance agent.

When the annuitant reaches age 59½, some annuities begin paying out their cash value through a series of fixed payments. Depending on how the annuity is set up, the payments might occur every month for five years, 10 years, or the remainder of the annuitant’s life.

Annuities are popular because they provide a sort of salary during retirement. Once you start taking distributions, you receive a regular check, always for the same amount.

Annuities are popular because they provide a steady stream of income during retirement, often until death.

Fixed vs. Variable Annuities

The defining characteristic of a fixed annuity is that during its interest-accumulating phase, the rate of interest you earn is guaranteed. In this regard, a fixed annuity is more similar to a certificate of deposit (CD) than it is to a stock or mutual fund.

Also, because of this feature, fixed annuities are not classified as securities. Therefore, the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) does not regulate them, and a person who sells them is not required to maintain a Series 7 or Series 63 license. Life insurance agents, most of whom are not licensed to sell securities, love to sell fixed annuities, in no small part because their commissions can be considerable.

A variable annuity is so named because its rate of return varies based on the investment tool to which it is tied. Most variable annuities are invested in subaccounts that are like mutual funds, which are bundles of stocks, bonds, and money market instruments.

Because these investment vehicles, in particular stocks, vacillate based on economic conditions, variable annuities expose you to risk during recessions. Because variable annuities are invested in subaccounts you will be exposed to market risk.

During a variable annuity’s accumulation phase, if all goes well, your balance will increase due to investment growth. However, when a recession hits, your balance may decline if the investment vehicle in which it is parked contracts in value. While fixed annuities do not pose this risk, they also do not grow your balance as much during good economic times.

Qualified Longevity Annuity Contracts (QLACs)

A qualified longevity annuity contract (QLAC) is a way for retirees to generate an income stream that's stable and predictable. A QLAC is a type ofdeferred annuity, which is funded by transferring money from anindividual retirement account (IRA) or aqualified retirement plan, such as a 401(k).

A QLAC annuity provides consistent monthly payments until the owner's death and helps to provide protection from economic and market downturns. The SECURE 2.0 Act of 2022 allows individuals to transfer $200,000 of their retirement savings account or IRA to aQLAC.

Another benefit of a QLAC is that it isn't subject to the required minimum distribution (RMD) rules set by the IRS, which mandates IRA withdrawals beyond the age of 73 (previously 72, and increasing to age 75 in 2033.) Also, the QLAC payouts can begin sometime in the future, i.e. when the retiree turns 80 years old.

Although no financial product is completely recession-proof, annuities might be able to help you create a steady stream of income in times of uncertainty. However, it's important to consult a financial advisor to be sure that annuities are right for your financial situation.

Advisor Insight

Dan Stewart, CFA®
Revere Asset Management, Dallas, TX

How annuities perform in a recession depends on the type of annuity and its investment strategy. For instance, if you are invested in an equity-indexed annuity and the stock market tanks, you will likely earn only the guaranteed minimum interest with very little gains.

On the other hand, if you have a fee-only annuity, which is free of commissions and surrender penalties, you have a lot more options, such as moving the capital into investments that perform well in a recessionary environment or using some of the money for short selling. As for the insurance backing the annuity, it is generally safe no matter the market backdrop, as the insurance industry is highly regulated and required to hold a certain amount of reserves to meet liabilities.

What Is the Most Risky Annuity?

A variable annuity is generally considered the riskiest type of annuity. Your premiums go into investments, which determines your annuity's rate of return. If these investments perform well, they yield a high return, but if they don't, you'll see a low return or even a negative return.

What Is the Least Risky Annuity?

A fixed annuity is generally considered the safest type of annuity because it offers a guaranteed interest rate and protects the principal.

How Can You Mannage Annuity Risk?

The easiest way to manage annuity risks is by diversifying your portfolio. A well-balanced portfolio should include other investment options such as stocks, bonds, and cash. Also, a mix of fixed and variable annuities may make sense and can provide additional income through retirement.

What Are the Risks of Annuities in a Recession? (2024)

FAQs

What Are the Risks of Annuities in a Recession? ›

Fixed-indexed annuities are also fairly risky during a recession, although less so than variable annuities. Fixed-indexed annuities provide interest rates that vary along with a market index, such as the Nasdaq or S&P 500. During a recession, as the stock price of most companies falls, these indices tend to go down.

Is my annuity safe in a recession? ›

The biggest risk with annuities in a recession is risk of loss – or how much the money you have parked in the annuity loses value due to market conditions. Depending on the type of annuity you hold, your money might be at greater risk for loss based on how the market behaves.

Are annuities safe if the stock market crashes? ›

So, the answer is yes, it's a Fixed Annuity. It's not a security, a market-type product, or a market return product, regardless of what you hear out there. Fixed Index Annuities are CD-type products with normal CD returns. They do protect your principal if you attach an Income Rider to it.

Are annuities safe from bank collapse? ›

Annuities are not FDIC-insured, which can worry customers regarding what happens to their money if their provider goes bankrupt. But state guaranty associations act as a safety net in these situations.

What is the biggest risk associated with annuities? ›

Inflation Can Erode Your Annuity's Value

The good news is that you can protect your annuity from inflation by purchasing an annuity that builds in this benefit or by purchasing an inflation protection or cost-of-living adjustment rider.

Has anyone ever lost money in an annuity? ›

Poor Performance of Variable Annuities: Poor performance on the underlying investments of your variable annuity can expose you to a loss. This happens if the annuity is not protected with a guaranteed minimum return option (more on that later).

What happens to an annuity if the dollar collapses? ›

As insurance products, fixed index annuities (FIAs) provide principal protection guaranteed by the issuing insurance company. Therefore, in the worst possible scenario, in a total economic collapse (and the insurance company happens to survive) your principal plus any interest earned would still be “the same” amount.

What is the biggest disadvantage of an annuity? ›

Disadvantages of annuities
  1. High expenses and commissions. Cost is one of the biggest drawbacks of annuities. ...
  2. Difficult to exit. While it may be possible to get out of an annuity contract, it comes at a cost. ...
  3. Possibility of an insurer defaulting. ...
  4. Highly complex.
Apr 10, 2024

What happens if annuity goes bust? ›

If your annuity provider fails, there are two options. First, the broker who sold the policy may try to find another insurance company to issue a replacement policy. “This might be relatively straightforward if the failed insurance firm provides only one or a few types of insurance cover,” the FSCS says.

Can an annuity go broke? ›

Fixed annuities – A fixed annuity operates on a fixed rate of interest. This means that the product is not tied to the stock market, and you will not lose any money if the market should experience a downturn.

What is the 5 year annuity rule? ›

Five-Year Rule

With the Five Year Rule, the beneficiary has several options regarding when to receive the death benefit proceeds: Take all the money out soon after the death of the owner. Take periodic payments at any time during the five-year period. Wait until the fifth year to take all the annuity proceeds at once.

What are the worst annuities? ›

Annuities That Lose Money

That's why, in my opinion, advisors should generally steer clear of annuities that lose money due to stock market volatility, especially for retirees with little savings. Traditional variable annuities and registered index-linked annuities are two of the most common “losing” annuities.

What happens if my annuity company fails? ›

If you buy an annuity from an insurance company that fails, you do have some recourse. Each state has a guaranty association that protects policyholders when an insurance company fails. There are limits to this coverage, however. The amount you can recover varies by state but is typically about $100,000 per policy.

What happens to your annuity if the company goes under? ›

If you buy an annuity from an insurance company that fails, you do have some recourse. Each state has a guaranty association that protects policyholders when an insurance company fails. There are limits to this coverage, however. The amount you can recover varies by state but is typically about $100,000 per policy.

What does Warren Buffett think about annuities? ›

So does Warren Buffett love annuities like the future ads you will see from your local broker or annuity Internet promoter. The answer is a resounding NO. Warren Buffett loves only one thing ... making money, and he's still pretty darn good at it.

Can my annuity go down? ›

You can lose money in a variable annuity. Variable annuities are investment-based retirement savings products.

Is your money guaranteed in an annuity? ›

The annuity income benefit is paid for as long as you are alive. The company guarantees to make payments for a set number of years even if you die. If you die before the end of the period referred to as the “period certain,” the annuity will be paid to your beneficiary for the rest of that period.

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